Historical Parallels: Past Market Crash Resulted in 30% Plunge
2024-07-13 News

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Historical Parallels: Past Market Crash Resulted in 30% Plunge

Is A-Share Market Spring Back Again? The Great Rebound of the Stock Market in 2024 Sparks Heated Discussion

At the beginning of 2024, the A-share market has brought a great surprise to a vast number of investors. With the introduction of a series of favorable policies by the government, the long-dormant stock market has suddenly become active, and the Shanghai Composite Index has risen strongly for several consecutive trading days as if it had been injected with a stimulant. This scene has made many veteran investors involuntarily recall the vigorous bull market of 20 years ago, and they can't help but sigh: "Is the spring of A-shares really coming?"

The great rebound in the stock market has left investors with mixed feelings

Faced with this fierce upward trend, investors' reactions can be described as a mix of joy and worry. Some are ecstatic and eager to invest all their savings into the stock market; others are cautious and afraid that this is just a fleeting illusion.

"My wife says I've been grinning from ear to ear lately!" said Uncle Zhang, who had just made a small profit in the stock market, with a chuckle. "This market trend has come just in time, and finally, I have a place for the new car I just bought."

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In contrast, Aunt Li, who has more than ten years of investment experience, is particularly cautious. "Don't let the current benefits cloud your mind," she said with a frown, "Wasn't it the same in 2004? And what happened afterward? Everyone knows what happened."

Will history repeat itself? The lessons of 2004 are still fresh in our minds

When it comes to 2004, many veteran investors still remember it vividly. In September of that year, the State Council suddenly introduced nine favorable policies, and the stock market, like a rocket, saw the Shanghai Composite Index soar by 16% in just one week, with trading volume increasing by a full seven times! The good times didn't last long. After the brief prosperity, the A-share market quickly fell into a downward channel that lasted for more than half a year, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping from 1,500 points to below 1,000 points.

"It was really crazy back then," Old Investor Wang shook his head and sighed as he recalled the scene of that year. "Everyone thought the opportunity to get rich had come, but in the end, they lost their pants."

Current market environment: Opportunities and challenges coexistDespite the market environment in 2024 being different from that of 20 years ago, investors' concerns are not entirely unfounded. Currently, the global economic situation is complex and volatile, with inflationary pressures still present, all of which could impact the A-share market.

On the other hand, compared to 2004, the valuation levels of the current A-share market are at historical lows, providing the market with a certain degree of upward potential. As a well-known securities analyst stated: "Undervaluation provides a good foundation for market rebound, but investors should not ignore the uncertainties brought by the external environment."

How should investors respond? Rationality and caution are key.

Faced with the current market situation, how should investors respond? Experts offer the following advice:

- Maintain calm and do not let short-term gains cloud your judgment.

- Conduct risk assessments and allocate assets reasonably.

- Focus on high-quality individual stocks and avoid blindly following trends.

- Maintain a long-term investment mindset and avoid excessive frequent trading.

"The stock market is like a roller coaster; ups and downs are the norm," said a senior investment advisor, "The key is to learn to seize opportunities amidst fluctuations, rather than being swayed by emotions."

What about the future? The spring for A-shares may already be on its way.Despite the many uncertainties in the market, many experts remain optimistic about the future of A-shares. They believe that with the continuous development of China's economy and the continuous improvement of the capital market, the long-term upward trend of the A-share market has not changed.

"Rome wasn't built in a day, and the spring of A-shares won't come overnight either," a person in the industry said humorously, "but as long as we persist in reform and opening up, and continuously improve the quality of the market, A-shares will eventually usher in their own golden age."

Faced with the strong rebound in the A-share market in 2024, investors are both excited and apprehensive. Will history repeat itself? How will the future develop? These questions may not have standard answers. But one thing is certain: in this market full of opportunities and challenges, only by maintaining rationality and patience can we go further on the road of investment.

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